Sticker Shock: Consumer beef prices on the rise as supply tightens

A look into the future of beef production with insights from Cattle-Fax CEO Randy Blach.

When it comes to beef, consumers may soon notice a shift in their wallets as beef prices are expected to climb due to tightening supplies. Randy Blach, CEO of Cattle-Fax, a leading authority on cattle industry trends, shared some insights on the trend with Brownfield Ag News.

According to Blach, we can anticipate a four- to five-percent decline in beef production in the coming months. The decline is expected to reach its lowest point in January of 2024, marking a significant dip in beef cow numbers. However, Blach suggested that the real challenge lies ahead since the industry will not hit a production low until 2025 or 2026.

But what about beef demand? Despite the higher prices that consumers may face at the meat counter, Blach assures us that beef demand hasn’t taken a severe hit. People still crave those juicy steaks and burgers. However, if the industry continues along this path of tightening supplies, he believes it is likely that we will see a decrease in beef availability.

So, what does all of this mean for those of us who love our beef? It means we may need to be prepared for higher prices in the near future. The economics of supply and demand are at play here—and when supplies shrink, prices tend to rise.

It is also time for cattle producers to carefully navigate the changing landscape. At the same time, dealing with the challenges of managing herds and production as market dynamics fluctuate. Adapting to these changes may require strategic planning and a keen understanding of market trends.

Related Stories
Janie camps out on the historic YP Ranch with the operation’s matriarch, RanchHER Renee Jackson, her family, and a talented crew of cowboys as they wrap up part of branding season on their remote and expansive operation located on the state line of Nevada and Idaho.
Janie camps out at the remote State Line of Nevada & Idaho with Renee Jackson, wrapping up branding season at the historic YP ranch.

Agriculture Shows
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Farm Traveler is for people who want to connect with their food and those who grow it. Thanks to direct-to-consumer businesses, agritourism, and social media, it’s now easier than ever to learn how our food is made and support local farmers. Here on the Farm Traveler, we want to connect you with businesses offering direct-to-consumer products you can try at home, agritourism sites you can visit with your family, and exciting new technologies that are changing how your food is being grown.
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
Host Ben Bailey hops in the tractor cab, giving farmers 10 minutes to answer as many questions and grab as much cash as they can for their local FFA chapter.